Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 307.791407 348.761855 394.438298 449.371098 513.951412 587.837799 679.304172
2025-06-22 240.563939 292.166600 354.864180 437.540181 545.025998 681.902913 872.447391
2025-06-29 207.679709 263.623011 335.476844 436.201184 576.478162 769.138183 1061.402017
2025-07-06 178.229692 233.765809 308.121977 417.329236 577.790181 811.855706 1192.840482
2025-07-13 166.964825 225.959110 308.176479 434.583511 630.531504 934.483139 1467.073725
2025-07-20 158.413992 220.461207 310.106836 453.816024 687.948298 1072.931527 1797.678024
2025-07-27 147.095326 209.466691 302.310462 456.459826 718.483126 1171.699660 2081.105203
2025-08-03 134.284781 194.837519 287.205795 445.090152 723.195141 1225.460819 2290.893048
2025-08-10 123.908625 182.907020 274.963721 436.648977 731.203374 1285.672290 2527.509185
2025-08-17 119.138095 179.259195 275.464769 449.688872 779.512007 1430.860501 2986.401096
2025-08-24 112.108986 171.327306 268.063917 447.734725 798.961762 1521.365290 3345.227012
2025-08-31 104.926647 162.544456 258.385599 440.418357 806.614621 1588.046642 3664.709661
2025-09-07 99.555817 156.535811 253.221270 441.467321 832.523859 1702.601131 4156.089648
2025-09-14 92.926452 147.910008 242.753162 431.260864 833.573539 1761.092199 4514.618373
2025-09-21 88.230894 142.261451 237.097824 429.790408 853.174214 1867.890695 5057.609677
2025-09-28 81.621688 132.788913 223.694326 411.271915 831.972885 1868.588920 5265.376398
2025-10-05 80.248498 132.537697 227.357528 428.217211 894.887903 2101.546669 6357.923568
2025-10-12 79.143551 132.668353 231.715216 447.104480 965.703358 2374.685942 7746.251134
2025-10-19 76.193600 129.175474 228.747808 449.700510 996.679009 2542.063548 8816.069619
2025-10-26 71.957784 123.002062 220.023617 438.535733 990.712442 2597.168260 9439.754474
2025-11-02 68.345002 117.797583 212.871878 430.245935 991.203694 2673.266356 10207.676935
2025-11-09 67.115682 117.080019 214.750261 443.051716 1050.826166 2957.772540 12184.530175
2025-11-16 64.532389 113.567751 210.598075 441.132749 1069.228926 3108.460760 13580.607269